Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Murata 0-3 Virtus
Original prediction
Virtus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Virtus
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MurataWLLLL
GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
VirtusWDWLL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MurataVirtus
0.0Attack75.0
66.7Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
31.3Power88.7
0.84xG1.53