Municipalvs
CD Motagua
SCHEDULEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Motagua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Municipal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CD Motagua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Motagua hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 96.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while CD Motagua holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CD Motagua
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
13.6%
CD Motagua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40