GGOALVIO

Qatar · Second Division · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muaither SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Muaither SC 1-2 Qatar U23

Original prediction

Muaither SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6234.1%47.0%12.9 pts
Draw3.4226.1%25.7%-0.5 pts
Away2.2539.8%27.3%-12.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Muaither SC

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Muaither SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Muaither SCLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Qatar U23LLDLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Muaither SCQatar U23
66.7Attack22.2
77.8Defence55.6
66.7Form22.2
68.7Power36.4
1.82xG0.88
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