Al-Khorvs
Al-Gharafa B
COMPLETEDQatar · Second Division · 10/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Khor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Khor 4-0 Al-Gharafa B
Original prediction
Al-Khor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.9% | 63.2% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.28 | 17.0% | 19.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 8.08 | 11.1% | 17.3% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Al-Khor
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Al-Khor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-KhorWLLWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Gharafa BLLLD
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.25/2.50
BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Al-KhorAl-Gharafa B
83.3Attack8.3
33.3Defence16.7
50.0Form8.3
53.1Power15.7
2.79xG1.13