GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

JDFS Alberts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Mārupe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while JDFS Alberts are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JDFS Alberts hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the 1. Liga, while JDFS Alberts holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

JDFS Alberts

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

9.6%

JDFS Alberts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MārupeWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JDFS AlbertsWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MārupeJDFS Alberts
54.2Attack66.7
47.9Defence52.1
45.8Form58.3
49.1Power58.7
1.66xG2.00
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