Mārupevs
JDFS Alberts
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JDFS Alberts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mārupe 0-2 JDFS Alberts
Original prediction
JDFS Alberts
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.07 | 22.2% | 27.1% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.2% | 19.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.6% | 53.1% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
JDFS Alberts
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
JDFS Alberts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80