Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mortágua 3-1 Nazarenos
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MortáguaWLLWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NazarenosNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
MortáguaNazarenos
38.5Attack50.0
53.8Defence50.0
47.4Form50.0
49.2Power50.0
1.08xG1.11