Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napoli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Napoli
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Napoli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MonzaWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NapoliDWLLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MonzaNapoli
53.3Attack46.7
20.0Defence60.0
26.7Form46.7
36.3Power53.0
1.33xG1.67