Monzavs
Fiorentina
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie A · 11/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Monza
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Monza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MonzaLWLDL
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FiorentinaLLDWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MonzaFiorentina
62.5Attack38.1
25.0Defence19.0
29.2Form19.0
39.5Power28.2
2.70xG1.50