Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Monza
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Monza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MonzaDLWLD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AtalantaLLLWW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MonzaAtalanta
53.3Attack33.3
20.0Defence53.3
26.7Form40.0
36.3Power45.3
1.47xG1.41