Monza U20vs
Brescia U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Primavera · 10/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monza U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monza U20 5-1 Brescia U19
Original prediction
Monza U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.0% | 38.8% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.5% | 25.4% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 35.7% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Monza U20
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Monza U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40