Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montrose · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Montrose are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Clyde are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Montrose hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Challenge Cup, while Montrose holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Montrose
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
9.8%
Montrose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00