Montanavs
Ludogorets II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Montana 2-3 Ludogorets II
Original prediction
Ludogorets II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.2% | 30.9% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.0% | 40.7% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.0–115%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets II
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Ludogorets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80