Monarcasvs
CDS Tampico Madero
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Monarcas 1-2 CDS Tampico Madero
Original prediction
Monarcas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.4% | 72.3% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.4% | 17.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 5.61 | 16.2% | 10.4% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60