Monarcasvs
CDS Tampico Madero
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Monarcas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20