Mladá Boleslav IIvs
Sokol Zápy
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 9/5/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sokol Zápy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mladá Boleslav II 2-3 Sokol Zápy
Original prediction
Sokol Zápy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.6% | 34.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.9% | 27.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 37.8% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sokol Zápy
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Sokol Zápy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80