Mirassolvs
Internacional
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mirassol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mirassol 2-0 Internacional
Original prediction
Mirassol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 43.3% | 38.6% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.8% | 28.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.9% | 33.2% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Mirassol
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Mirassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40