Minnesota United FCvs
Orlando City SC
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United FC
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
10.3%
Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80