GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United FC

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

10.3%

Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Orlando City SCLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United FCOrlando City SC
37.0Attack55.6
53.7Defence13.0
44.4Form37.0
47.1Power36.6
2.04xG1.38
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