Minnesota United FCvs
Orlando City SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minnesota United FC 3-3 Orlando City SC
Original prediction
Minnesota United FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 52.3% | 57.8% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 23.3% | 19.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.5% | 22.6% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United FC
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60