Minnesota United FCvs
FC Dallas
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minnesota United FC 1-2 FC Dallas
Original prediction
Minnesota United FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 48.0% | 39.4% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.1% | 21.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.9% | 39.2% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United FC
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00