Mineros de Zacatecasvs
Piratas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/25/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Piratas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 Piratas
Original prediction
Piratas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.2% | 33.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.0% | 26.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.8% | 40.4% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Piratas
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Piratas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00