Mineros de Zacatecasvs
Monarcas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1 Monarcas
Original prediction
Monarcas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.1% | 34.7% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.2% | 22.1% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.7% | 43.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20