Mineros de Zacatecasvs
Leones Negros UDG
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mineros de Zacatecas
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80