GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0 CDS Tampico Madero

Original prediction

Mineros de Zacatecas

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0145.6%47.1%1.5 pts
Draw3.4726.4%24.4%-2.0 pts
Away3.2828.0%28.5%0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWDWD

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWLWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCDS Tampico Madero
100.0Attack33.3
26.7Defence60.0
53.3Form46.7
58.9Power47.4
1.96xG1.36
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