Mineros de Zacatecasvs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 Cancún
Original prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.9% | 44.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 21.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.9% | 34.2% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Mineros de Zacatecas
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40