Metta / LUvs
Riga Mariners
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metta / LU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metta / LU 4-0 Riga Mariners
Original prediction
Metta / LU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 72.7% | 60.1% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.48 | 16.4% | 19.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 8.26 | 10.9% | 20.1% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Metta / LU
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60