Metta / LUvs
Leevon / PPK
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metta / LU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metta / LU 2-0 Leevon / PPK
Original prediction
Metta / LU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.5% | 66.1% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.20 | 12.6% | 17.7% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 11.42 | 7.9% | 16.2% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Metta / LU
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20