Metta / LUvs
JFK Ventspils
COMPLETEDLatvia · 1. Liga · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metta / LU · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (15%), 4-0 (15%), 5-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metta / LU 7-0 JFK Ventspils
Original prediction
Metta / LU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 90.5% | 91.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 12.30 | 7.6% | 6.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 50.20 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–015%
- 2.4–015%
- 3.5–012%
Predicted outcome
Metta / LU
Probability
91.8%
Model confidence
91.8%
Metta / LU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 23 · GA 7 · avg 4.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00