Metal Kharkivvs
Nyva Ternopil
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/30/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metal Kharkiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Metal Kharkiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Metal Kharkiv 1-1 Nyva Ternopil
Original prediction
Metal Kharkiv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.5% | 38.2% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 30.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 27.0% | 30.9% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Projected Score
Metal Kharkiv 0–0 Nyva Ternopil
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Metal Kharkiv
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Metal Kharkiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80