Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rustavi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi
Original prediction
Rustavi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.84 | 18.6% | 13.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 25.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.4% | 61.3% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Projected Score
Meshakhte 0–1 Rustavi
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Rustavi
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Rustavi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MeshakhteDDWLL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RustaviDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MeshakhteRustavi
25.3Attack41.3
44.0Defence72.0
21.3Form57.3
32.9Power58.6
0.44xG1.37