Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nebitci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Merw are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Nebitci are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nebitci hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Ýokary Liga, while Nebitci holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nebitci
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
14.2%
Nebitci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60