Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahal · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Ahal
Probability
79.4%
Model confidence
79.4%
Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MerwLWDWL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AhalLLWWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MerwAhal
30.2Attack60.6
17.5Defence65.2
33.3Form63.6
29.4Power62.3
0.63xG3.03