Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aşgabat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Merw 3-2 Aşgabat
Original prediction
Aşgabat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Aşgabat
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Aşgabat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MerwLLLWL
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
AşgabatLDWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MerwAşgabat
29.4Attack37.0
9.8Defence27.8
27.5Form25.9
25.0Power32.2
1.36xG1.73