Merani Martvilivs
Sioni
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 9/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merani Martvili · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Merani Martvili 0-0 Sioni, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Merani Martvili 2-1 Sioni
Original prediction
Merani Martvili
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.2% | 38.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 29.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.6% | 32.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Merani Martvili 0–0 Sioni
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Merani Martvili
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Merani Martvili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20