Merani Martvilivs
Aragvi Dusheti
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merani Martvili · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Merani Martvili 0-0 Aragvi Dusheti, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Merani Martvili 3-1 Aragvi Dusheti
Original prediction
Merani Martvili
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.3% | 42.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 29.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.4% | 28.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
Merani Martvili 0–0 Aragvi Dusheti
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Merani Martvili
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Merani Martvili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00