Mayak Sarnyvs
FC Kharkiv
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Cup · 10/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Kharkiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.63 | 8.6% | 28.7% | 20.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.55 | 13.9% | 24.7% | 10.8 pts |
| Away | 1.17 | 77.5% | 46.6% | -30.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Kharkiv
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
FC Kharkiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mayak SarnyWDL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00
BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
FC KharkivWWWLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mayak SarnyFC Kharkiv
66.7Attack100.0
83.3Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
71.2Power93.0
1.40xG1.44