Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maritimo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maritimo 1-0 Casa Pia
Original prediction
Maritimo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Maritimo
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
12.9%
Maritimo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaritimoDDWLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Casa PiaLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MaritimoCasa Pia
33.3Attack37.3
100.0Defence51.0
100.0Form37.3
80.3Power42.7
1.63xG0.83