Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mantova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Empoli are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 44.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Serie B, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
14.4%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80