Manchester Unitedvs
Aston Villa
SCHEDULEDEngland · Premier League · 11/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manchester UnitedDLLWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aston VillaWWWLW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
53.3Attack26.7
46.7Defence40.0
33.3Form26.7
45.0Power34.0
1.88xG1.06