Premier League
Sunday, 23 August 2026Updated today
M

Manchester City

Home
vs
B

Bournemouth

Away
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Manchester City(61%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Manchester City
61%
Draw
20%
Bournemouth
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Manchester City61%
Draw20%
Bournemouth19%

Manchester City leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Manchester City head into this in Premier League fixture in unknown form, while Bournemouth arrive in unknown form.

Manchester City have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Bournemouth have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Manchester City and Bournemouth in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Manchester City to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Manchester City 6076%, Draw 2010%, Bournemouth 1914%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

GoalVio's model predicts Manchester City to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Bournemouth?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more