Manchester Cityvs
Bournemouth
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester City 2-1 Bournemouth
Original prediction
Manchester City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Manchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manchester CityLWWDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BournemouthLDWWW
GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Manchester CityBournemouth
84.2Attack47.4
70.2Defence41.2
79.8Form42.1
77.5Power45.0
3.38xG0.71