Maarduvs
FCI Levadia II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 8/29/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maardu 4-2 FCI Levadia II
Original prediction
FCI Levadia II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.5% | 38.4% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.3% | 19.2% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.2% | 42.4% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
FCI Levadia II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60