Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Lyon W
Probability
80.8%
Model confidence
80.8%
Lyon W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lyon WWWLWW
GF 23 · GA 6 · avg 4.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Häcken WWWWWW
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Lyon WHäcken W
100.0Attack36.7
63.6Defence56.7
78.8Form50.0
76.3Power50.7
2.82xG0.71