Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Luzern W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Yverdon W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40