Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luzern W 1-2 Basel W
Original prediction
Basel W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
10.5%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Luzern WDWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Basel WWWWLW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Luzern WBasel W
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power86.5
1.41xG1.99