Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astrakhan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lugansk 4-0 Astrakhan
Original prediction
Astrakhan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Astrakhan
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Astrakhan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuganskLDDWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AstrakhanLDWDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LuganskAstrakhan
33.3Attack43.9
46.7Defence50.9
33.3Form38.6
40.1Power45.2
1.04xG1.30