Ludogorets IIvs
Fratria
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fratria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ludogorets II 0-0 Fratria, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ludogorets II 1-1 Fratria
Original prediction
Fratria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.75 | 23.8% | 27.9% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 30.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.1% | 41.4% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Projected Score
Ludogorets II 0–0 Fratria
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Fratria
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Fratria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ludogorets IIWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FratriaDDWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ludogorets IIFratria
33.3Attack45.8
66.7Defence75.0
45.8Form62.5
50.2Power63.2
0.64xG0.93