Ludogorets IIvs
Dobrudzha
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ludogorets II 1-0 Dobrudzha, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ludogorets II 5-1 Dobrudzha
Original prediction
Ludogorets II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.1% | 56.0% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 25.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.6% | 18.5% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Projected Score
Ludogorets II 1–0 Dobrudzha
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets II
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Ludogorets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80