Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/13/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders
Original prediction
Los Angeles Galaxy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.7% | 37.5% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.1% | 29.3% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 31.3% | 33.1% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40