Los Angeles Galaxyvs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 San Diego
Original prediction
Los Angeles Galaxy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 42.4% | 41.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.2% | 21.3% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 33.4% | 37.3% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40