Los Angeles Galaxyvs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/15/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 Portland Timbers
Original prediction
Los Angeles Galaxy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.7% | 37.8% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.2% | 27.1% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 31.2% | 35.1% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20