Los Angeles Galaxyvs
New England Revolution
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/6/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England Revolution
Original prediction
New England Revolution
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 38.8% | 28.4% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.9% | 24.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 36.3% | 47.6% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
New England Revolution
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20