Los Angeles FCvs
Portland Timbers
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Los Angeles FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and los Angeles FC hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Major League Soccer, favouring Los Angeles FC with 9.8% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
9.8%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80