Los Angeles FCvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/10/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Los Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 67.7% | 53.7% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 18.1% | 24.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 6.64 | 14.1% | 21.9% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40